Bitung, VivaSulut.com – Dua bakal pasangan calon (Paslon) wali kota dan wakil wali kota telah resmi mendaftar ke KPU untuk ikut konstentasi Pilkada 2024 Kota Bitung.
Dua bakal Paslon itu adalah Geraldi Mantiri-Erwin Wurangian dan Hengky Honandar-Randito Maringka.
Menurut pemerhati politik dan pemerintahan Sulawesi Utara, Taufik Tumbelaka, kedua bakal Paslon ini memiliki peluang yang sama untuk memenangkan Pilkada Kota Bitung.
Menurutnya, masih terlalu dini untuk menyimpulkan siapa yang unggul karena peta kekuatan politik masih terlalu dinamis.
“Ada empat variabel yang menentukan kemenangan dalam Pilkada. Empat variabel itu adalah kekuatan figur, partai politik pengusung, strategi lapangan dan soliditas,” kata Taufik, Selasa (10/9/2024).
Empat variabel itu, kata Taufik, berlaku umum di semua Pilkada. Dan awalnya, peta kekuatan politik akan terlihat dengan hasil survei politik.
“Melalui survei awal, maka strategi dimainkan dan yang nantinya bakal menjadi evaluasi pergerakan tim melalui survei lanjutan,” katanya.
Ia juga menilai, biasanya diawal perjalanan menuju Pilkada, ada bakal Paslon yang unggul. Tetapi, jika strategi politik tidak tepat dan soliditas tim menurun maka akan terjadi ‘kecelakaan’ politik.
“Jadi saat ini masih terlalu pagi untuk membuat prediksi siapa yang nantinya akan unggul di Pilkada Kota Bitung,” katanya.
Pun demikian, salah satu pengurus Keluarga Alumni Universitas Gadjah Mada (Kagama) Kota Manado ini mengaku tertarik dengan bakal Paslon Geraldi-Erwin yang menampilkan keunikan berpolitik dalam Pilkada Kota Bitung.
Taufik menilai, politik gagasan yang dimunculkan Geraldi-Erwin pasca mendaftar ke KPU sangat menarik dan menggambarkan sosok mereka lebih mengedepankan anak muda.
“Sangat menarik karena mereka adalah figur-figur muda yang diusung oleh partai politik yang mapan secara gerakan,” katanya.
Sedangkan koalisi ‘gendut’ yang mengusung Hengky-Randito, kata dia, punya plus-minus.
“Plusnya lebih berwarna karena banyak Parpol pengusung dan minusnya, lebih sulit menyatukan karena masing-masing punya target politik internal, jadi tidak mudah,” katanya.
(redaksi)
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